The importance of PvP in an everchanging FX ecosystem

Article
Article
5 min read
Date
11 September 2024
Author
Deborah Hrvatin
Chief Risk Officer
Publication

CLS was established in 2002 as a response to the public sector’s call for the private sector to mitigate foreign exchange (FX) settlement risk. This is the risk that one party delivers the currency it sold but does not receive the currency it bought, resulting in a loss of principal. CLS’s payment-versus-payment (PvP) solution has grown to be the de facto market standard for tackling FX settlement risk, settling payment instructions in 18 of the world’s most traded currencies.

The proportion of FX trades not settled on a PvP basis has increased in recent years, driven by the growth in emerging market (EM) currency trading. According to the Bank for International Settlements 2022 Triennial Survey,[1] the share of non-CLS eligible currencies grew from USD0.2 trillion average daily turnover in 2010 (ca. 5.5% of trades) to USD0.7 trillion in 2022 (ca. 8.5% of trades). This has led the FX market to renew its efforts in reducing FX settlement risk. One way to mitigate the outstanding settlement risk is to make PvP and other practices for risk mitigation, including netting, available to a broader range of currencies – particularly heavily traded EM currencies.

Extending PvP solutions in EM currencies comes with challenges, ranging from operational to legal and regulatory aspects, that must be carefully managed in the current geopolitical context. There are several public / private sector initiatives around the globe exploring ways to further facilitate the mitigation of the FX settlement risk.

In October 2020, the Financial Stability Board published the G20 Roadmap for Enhancing Cross-Border Payments, an initiative addressing the challenges of cost, speed, transparency, and access in cross-border payments. Building Block 9 of the G20 roadmap focuses on mitigating FX settlement risk for cross-border payments – a key challenge for the wholesale market – by encouraging the use of PvP arrangements. The G20 initiative acknowledges that while existing PvP systems like CLSSettlement have made significant progress in reducing settlement risk, there are still obstacles to broader PvP adoption.[2]

During its first two years, the G20 roadmap initiative focused on stock-takes and analysis. On this basis, and in an effort to deliver tangible enhancements to cross-border payments by the end of the 2027, the project established a three-year prioritization plan and a public-private sector engagement model.[3] As a member of the CPMI-led Payments Interoperability and Extension task force, CLS is working with a diverse group of public and private sector stakeholders to help achieve the G20 cross-border payments targets.

CLS is also contributing to the three-year review of the FX Global Code, a set of global principles of good practice for the FX market. The FX Global Code inter alia encourages FX market participants to explore ways to further mitigate risk and reduce operational costs by adopting a best practice approach to FX settlement risk management and netting (principles 35 and 50).

There is a spectrum of settlement practices starting ideally with PvP settlement, which fully mitigates FX settlement risk, to different kinds of netting solutions which are encouraged to at least help decrease FX settlement risk exposure.[4] One could picture this as a “waterfall” of potentially cascading mechanisms

“One way to address the outstanding settlement risk is to make PvP available to a broader range of currencies – particularly heavily traded EM currencies.”

At the top of the waterfall, CLSSettlement provides the wholesale settlement backbone for the global FX market, settling on average over USD6.6 trillion a day. CLS estimates that it has captured 90% of the CLSSettlement-addressable market, with volumes continuing to grow. In June this year CLS settled a record value of USD19.1 trillion.

Further down the waterfall and where PvP is not available, CLS provides an automated bilateral payment netting calculation service, CLSNet. This service helps market participants benefit from greater operational efficiency and enhanced risk mitigation for over 120 currencies, including currencies not supported by CLSSettlement. This service continues to grow, and its average daily netted value [5] is now USD148 billion, up 40% year-on-year. In June this year CLSNet saw a record daily netted value of USD593 billion.

CLS will continue to engage with the community of regulators, central banks and the industry to work on solutions to mitigate settlement risk, particularly for EM currencies.

First published in Eurofi magazine, September 2024.

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